There’s nothing better than identifying a mismatch where the oddsmakers have made a mistake and you reap the rewards of an underdog win. But that’s a whole lot easier to say than it’s to do and sometimes it burns you another way when those apparent cut-and-dry favorites price you money once the underdog pulls off that upset.
Among the most shocking upsets of 2018 had arguably the best pound-for-pound fighter Demetrious Johnson losing by unanimous decision to Henry Cejudo (+350) at UFC 227. This doesn’t mean you should be swinging for the fences on each card with a lot of underdog bets, but only know that there can be money to be made on a well-placed wager.
2018 was a Bounce-Back Year for Underdogs
Underdog successes were on the decline lately, as in 2015 dogs had a winning percentage of 38.5, but in 2017 that percentage fell to 32. But, was a bit of a comeback in 2018 as underdogs finished at a 36 percent that is winning and that trend has continued into 2019.
During 19 events this year, underdogs are hitting at a speed of 36.8 percent. Most recently, UFC Fight Night Greenville: Moicano vs the Korean Zombie saw dogs win five of the 11 fights, earning bettors $205.91 predicated on a $100 bet on each fight. The biggest upset of the day was about the undercard with Molly McCann (+215) beating Ariane Lipski. Overall this year, the biggest upset is Allen Crowder (+375) over Greg Hardy.
Odds Shark will update the records for underdogs vs favorites. Additionally, we’ll break down the profits based on 100 on each underdog versus $100 on each favorite.

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