LSU Tigers and the Florida Gators both come with statement victories into this Saturdays game.
LSU went to Texas and beat the Longhorns. The Gators stifled then-No. 7 Auburn in the Swamp weekend. However, in this weeks matchup in Death Valley, the two teams look to take a spot in the race over .
Floridas defense leads the solution in their opinion. Theyve given up the 8th-fewest offensive touchdowns (5), and also have not given up a stage in the 4th quarter since their opener. As he went 11 with three INTs into making decisions that were several last week Auburn QB Bo Nix flustered.
However, Joe Burrow is not Nix. He is a veteran quarterback, and it has led LSU to the greatest start in SEC history. They have averaged 54.6 points-per-game, the maximum in school soccer. That includes the 45 they dumped on Texas.
As 13-point underdogs on BetNow that the Gators come in Together with Death Valley awaitings roar. Does the No. 5 grading defense keep this close and cover the spread? Or will the No. 2 passing offense and Burrow keep rolling and also win the wager? Here is the breakdown.
Theres very little uncertainty in the skill of Burrow . Hes transformed to a Heisman candidate, having an immaculate 22/3 TD/INT ratio and 11.5 yards-per-attempt (3rd at the FBS).
Hes also working with one of the getting teams in the country. The trio of all JaMarr Chase, Justin Jefferson, and Terrace Marshall Jr. have combined for 19 touchdowns along with 73 receptions, with averages above 15 YPC for all three.
Jefferson has good length with his 63 frame and has mastered in some big games. Chase is an actual presence on the opposite side. Marshall Jr. will sit out until November with a foot injury, but Derrick Dillon is a seasoned goal who can fill the spot. Its all part of a passing game thats Burrow at a 78.4% completion percentage.
Theyll face by far the roughest DB unit theyve played . Northwestern State is a FCS team, but here are the yards-per-attempt composed by LSUs other competitors: Texas 124th Georgia Southern 111th, Vanderbilt 128th, and Utah State 103rd.
Florida sits at 33rd, although its safe to say theyve yet to play a QB of all the standard of Burrow. Theyve played with two FCS QBs, a true freshman (Nix), a redshirt freshman making his first start (Jarren Williams, Miami), and Still, C.J. Henderson was preseason All-American who is living up to his own billing. Shawn Davis creates a bunch of havoc at the secondary (111 metres on three INTs). Marco Wilson is a bit on irregular so far in the other corner spot, but has a large ceiling.
Burrow will also confront a ominous pass-rush, which will be fully healthy for the first time since their 10 sacks versus Miami. Jabari Zuniga, thought to function as very best is coming back from injury. With him on both side and Jonathan Greenard (4.0 sacks/6.5 TKFL) around the other, LSUs 63rd-ranked sack rate in their o-line is going to be tested.
Since Kyle Trask replaced Feleipe Franks (ankle injury) since Floridas quarterback, the Gators have outscored opponents 115-16.
He has to get flustered with an opposing defensive line, while his awareness need to enhance from the pocket. Auburns is arguably the best in the nation, and ranks 11th in defensive lineup yards, according to Football Outsiders.
LSU is ranked 31st and can be 85th in sack rate. Theyll rely on blitzing LBs to assist throw Trask his game off. Even the Florida QB is convinced in the pocket but is not out of it. He wore a leg brace when he reentered the match and also sprained a knee.
Together with all the LBs All-American security Grant Delpit should produce big in coverage. He likely will face off against a matchup nightmare in Florida TE Kyle Pitts (25 receptions). Neutralizing Pitts (65-240lbs, 4.6 40-yard dashboard ) is imperative to LSUs victory on D.
LSU–such as Floridas secondary–is often regarded as DBU for the gift they have on the outside of their own defense. Derek Stingley Jr. is continuing this heritage with performances which should land him around the All-Freshman group, or even longer, in 2019.
On the other side of him will soon be out of returning FBS corners, Kristian Fulton, who allowed the smallest sum of first downs this past year. Although this group is currently 69th in passing yards allowed per-game, itll be a push if given an opportunity against a driven Trask.
Balance is going to be crucial as ever for Florida, that has not got their running game this year going however. A tackle broke at the point on his approach . Despite that, the Florida o-line rankings 113th in line yards and also can be going up from the No. 1 d-line in terms of power achievement (short-yardage situations).
Even though the LSU front may not be strong. But Florida only compiles 3.66 YPA around the floor, and thats including Perines long term and also a 76-yard receiver sweep which closed out the Kentucky match.
It puts ways too much stress on Trask at a hostile environment, if they dont buy Perine or Dameon Pierce going regularly.
Florida has earned respect from the college football world after a week. And while I dont expect them to come out from Death Valley with a win from LSU, I do see this game remaining many.
LSUs offense made incredible strides, and Burrow is just one of the more smart QBs in the FBS. But LSU isnt likely to put up 45 or something close to this. Their pass-rush has developed with Greenard wreaking havoc.
As the team has relied upon them much too much to modify the wave in matches the Gators defense will probably work out over time. Marco Wilson will be the topic from the bodily Chase or Jefferson to a PIs.
But I dont expect this till late in the fourth quarter. Maintaining the game in enough of a slog till afterward makes Florida the appropriate bet on Saturday.
Prediction: LSU (30) — Florida (20)

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