The Florida Gators and LSU Tigers equally come into this Saturdays match.
LSU moved to Texas and beat against the Longhorns. The Gators stifled then-No. 7 Auburn in the Swamp weekend. But in this weeks matchup in Death Valley, the two teams look to take a top-four place in the race more than to College Football Playoff.
Floridas defense leads the solution in their opinion. They have given up the 8th-fewest offensive touchdowns (5), and also have not given up a stage in the 4th quarter because their opener. As he went 11 with three INTs into making decisions that were several last week Auburn QB Bo Nix flustered.
But Joe Burrow is not Nix. He is a seasoned quarterback and has led LSU. They have averaged 54.6 points-per-game, the most in school football. That contains the 45 they dropped on Texas on the road.
As 13-point underdogs on BetNow that the Gators come in with the roar of all Death Valley anticipating. Would the No. 5 grading defense keep this close and cover the spread? Or will Burrow as well as win the wager up and the No. 2 passing crime keep rolling? Heres the complete breakdown.
There is very little uncertainty in the ability of Burrow . Hes converted into a Heisman candidate, having an immaculate 22/3 TD/INT ratio and 11.5 yards-per-attempt (3rd at the FBS).
Hes also working with one of the best receiving groups in the nation. The trio of JaMarr Chase, Justin Jefferson, along with Terrace Marshall Jr. have combined for 19 touchdowns and 73 receptions, with averages above 15 YPC for all three.
Jefferson has great length using his 63 frame, and it has dominated in some huge games. Chase is an actual existence on the other side. Marshall Jr. will sit until November with a foot injury, but Derrick Dillon is an experienced goal who will fill the area. It is all a part of a passing game thats Burrow in a 78.4% completion percentage.
They will face by far the DB unit theyve played . Northwestern State is an FCS group, but here would be the yards-per-attempt given up by LSUs additional competitors: Georgia Southern 111th, Texas 124th, Vanderbilt 128th, and Utah State 103rd.
Florida now sits in 33rd, even although its safe to say theyve yet to play a QB of all the standard of Burrow. They have played with FCS QBs, a true freshman (Nix), a redshirt freshman making his first start (Jarren Williams, Miami), and Still, C.J. Henderson had been preseason All-American who is living up to his own billing. Shawn Davis generates a bunch of havoc at the secondary (111 yards on 3 INTs). Marco Wilson is a bit on spot, but has a ceiling.
Burrow will even confront a menacing pass-rush, which will be completely healthy for the first time since their 10 sacks versus Miami. Jabari Zuniga, believed to function as very best is coming back from injury. With him on one side and Jonathan Greenard (4.0 sacks/6.5 TKFL) on the flip side, LSUs 63rd-ranked sack rate on their o-line will be tested.
Ever since Kyle Trask replaced Feleipe Franks (ankle injury) since Floridas quarterback, the Gators have outscored opponents 115-16.
He has yet to get flustered with an opposing defensive lineup Even though his consciousness must enhance from the pocket. Auburns according ranks 11th in lineup yards, and is the finest in the nation to Football Outsiders.
LSU is ranked 31st at LY and is currently 85th in bag rate. Theyll rely on blitzing LBs to help throw Trask his game off. Even the Florida QB is certain in the pocket but is not outside of it. He wore a leg brace when he reentered the game and sprained a knee.
With the LBs involved in the pass-rush, All-American safety Grant Delpit should produce big in policy. He probably will face off against a matchup nightmare in Florida TE Kyle Pitts (25 receptions). Neutralizing Pitts (65-240pounds, 4.6 40-yard dashboard ) is imperative to LSUs victory on D.
LSU–like Floridas secondary–is frequently regarded as DBU for the gift they have on the outside of their own defense. Derek Stingley Jr. is continuing this legacy with performances that should land him around the All-Freshman group, or even more, in 2019.
Would likely be Kristian Fulton, who let the smallest sum of first downs out of returning FBS corners. Itll be a push if given an opportunity against a pressured Trask though this group is now in passing yards allowed per-game 69th.
Balance is going to be crucial as for Florida, that hasnt got their running game this year, going yet. Last weekend broke a tackle at the point on his approach to a 88-yard TD run. In spite of this, the Florida o-line rankings 113th based on yards and is currently going up against the No. 1 d-line in terms of power achievement (short-yardage situations).
While the LSU front may not be powerful. But Florida only compiles 3.66 YPA around the ground, and that is like Perines long run and also a 76-yard receiver sweep which shut from the Kentucky game.
When they dont get Dameon or Perine Pierce going it puts ways stress on Trask at a hostile atmosphere.
Florida has earned admiration from the school football world following week. And while I dont expect them to come out with a win against LSU at Death Valley, I really do see this game remaining than most.
LSUs offense made strides, also Burrow is just one of the QBs in the FBS. But LSU is not likely to put up 45 or anything close to this against a defense whos proven at all three levels. Their pass-rush has developed with Greenard wreaking chaos.
As the group has relied on them much too much to change the wave in matches the Gators defense will probably work out over time. Marco Wilson is going to be the topic from the bodily Chase or Jefferson to a PIs.
However, I do not expect this before late in the fourth quarter. Keeping the game in enough of a slog until then makes Florida the bet on Saturday.
Prediction: LSU (30) — Florida (20)

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