This week, we’ve got a Fight Pass card in Singapore. Since it is in Singapore, we have to wake up at 4:30am ET to watch it live. I have set the alarm and I will be up prepared to sweat these early fights. DraftKings doesn’t have many large tournaments this week so I will personally be playing more money games and less GPPs. I will still have 3 GPP lineups but most of my investment that this week will be in cash games. But, there is still money to be won so here are a Couple of plays I like and my fade of this week:
Money Game play of this week — Stack, Leon Edwards ($8,600) AND Donald Cerrone ($7,600)
Donald”Cowboy” Cerrone is not in a boring fight. Whether he wins or loses, his fights usually score as a whole and the winner almost always pays off their cost in DraftKings. I typically look for 100 total points should I stack a struggle in money and that I believe with this being a possible 5-rounds, it must assess well more than that. Should Edwards win this battle, it’s probably an early KO, and if this happens he will score very high. If Cerrone wins, he could lock up a entry or a knockout which will easily 10x his cost of $7.6k. However, in any event, you have the winner at your lineup along with the guaranteed 30-90 win bonus points if you do stack. I think this battle is going to be fun as long as it continues and there should be a fantastic amount of points added up until one of these two get completed. If this does go 5 rounds, these two should still get over 100 total points together with the speed Cowboy brings to the table.
GPP drama of this week — Li Jingliang ($9,200)
Li Jingliang constantly puts on a series when he measures in the Octagon. He’s a fast pace fighter who scores very well on DraftKings if he wins. I think he must be the better fighter wherever this fight ends up against Abe. In addition, I think he could complete this fight on the feet or the floor and if this happens he would probably pay off his high price tag of $9.2k. He is the 3rd most expensive fighter on the card and I think he’s the maximum ceiling. That is what we want in GPPs is a high ceiling, so that’s why Jingliang is my GPP play of this week.
Underdog drama of this week — Song Yadong ($7,900)
Song Yadong is my favorite DraftKings”underdog” this week. His betting line has changed to him being a slight favorite at -120 however he’s $400 cheaper than his competitor. I believe saving that $400 is a fantastic move in cash or GPP games so I enjoy Yadong in most formats. I think Yadong will seem to keep this fight on the feet and hunt for this KO win. If he can get the win, then ” I think he should readily pay off that cost and get at least 10x.
Fade of the week — Viviane Pereira ($8,800)
My main issue with Pereira is that she is too expensive. At $8.8k, I need at least 88 points out of her and I think she needs get an end to do that. I really don’t see that happening and neither does Vegas using a +617 ITD line. She does not strike at a high enough pace or land enough takedowns to evaluate 88 points in my personal opinion. In her two UFC wins she held her competitor against the fence to get a good section of the struggle and no points have been scored when that occurs. If she does this again here, there is no way she comes close to 88 points even with a win. I will have a full fade on Pereira this week and that I will compensate for other favorites instead.
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